XM: the yen began to rebound, oil prices or once again down to the downward trend, with the Spring Festival holiday approaching, offshore RMB devaluation pressure again. The US dollar against the offshore RMB has risen to around 6.6450, which makes the RMB difference across the Taiwan Strait rise to around 650 points. In addition, China’s stock market and Hongkong stock market fell again, the yen once again rose under the support of hedge buying, the U.S. dollar yen sharp pullback. Therefore, the yen is expected to be revised before the Spring Festival holiday. And crude oil, oil prices fell again every other day, NYMEX crude oil fell below the $30 mark. The pullback in oil prices for two consecutive days has taken over all the two trading days on Thursday and Friday, which confirms our unsustainable judgment on the rise in oil prices. In the short term, Saudi Arabia and Russia, the major oil producers, have called for a reduction in production, and oil prices have once again shifted downward. The pound dollar rebounded slightly every other day, but the exchange rate met the support in the 1.4336 line, and then rebounded, and the support was also located in the orbit of Bollinger channel, so the support was stronger here. Within the day, the current trend of the exchange rate is still biased upward. In the upward direction, the resistance is at 1.4444 on Monday, and then on the 200 moving line near 1.4560 near 1.4500 and 4 hours. In the downward direction, the support is located at the 1.4336 line, 1.4223 line, 1.4100 and 1.4000 pass. In the euro area, the euro dollar once again rises every other day, and the exchange rate moves closer to the resistance of the 100 day moving average, which confirms our judgment every other day. Within the day, the exchange rate is close to the resistance of the 100 day average, the downside risk is greater than the uplink risk. In the upward direction, the resistance is located at 1.0967 and 1.1053 near the 100 and 200 day moving average; in the downward direction, the support is located at the 1.0795 line, followed by the support of the 1.0650 line, the 1.0520 line and the low point of the year 1.0461. Gold, gold was down to $1122 a day, the current price has hit a 200 day moving average resistance, this rally is nearing completion, the trend is still biased downward. In the upward direction, the resistance is at the 200 day moving average near $1130.62 and the $1144.30 line. In the downward direction, we support the 5 day moving average near $1123.51, the $1114.92 line, the 100 day moving average near $1106.50, and the Bollinger lane near the $1104.90 lane. XM Li Xiaodong 2016-2-3 enters Sina Financial shares] discussion

XM:日元开始反弹,油价或再次转为下行   随着春节假期的临近,离岸人民币再次出现贬值压力。美元兑离岸人民币已经走高至6.6450附近,这使得两岸人民币差价走高至650个点左右。加之中国股市和香港股市再次走低,日元再次在避险买盘支撑下走高,美元 日元出现大幅回调。因此,预计日元在春节假期结束之前将有所回调。   而原油方面,隔日油价再次大跌,NYMEX原油跌破了30美元关口。油价连续两个交易日的回调已经使得其回吐了上周四和周五两个交易日的全部涨幅,也印证了我们对油价的涨势不可持续的判断。短期内来看,主要产油国沙特和俄罗斯关于减产的呼吁都已经失败,油价或再次转为下行。   英镑 美元隔日小幅回调,但汇价在1.4336一线遇到了支撑,随后反弹,该支撑同时也位于布林通道中轨处,因此此处支撑较强。日内来看,目前汇价走势依然偏于上行。   上行方向看,阻力位于周一高点1.4444,随后在1.4500以及4小时图上1.4560附近的200均线处。下行方向看,支撑位于1.4336一线、1.4223一线、1.4100和1.4000关口。   欧元方面,欧元 美元隔日再次走高,汇价进一步向着100日均线处阻力靠拢,这印证了我们隔日的判断。日内来看,汇价已经接近100日均线处阻力,其下行风险大于上行风险。   上行方向看,阻力位于1.0967以及1.1053附近的100日和200日均线处;下行方向看,支撑位于1.0795一线,随后支撑在1.0650一线、1.0520一线和年内低点1.0461一线。   黄金方面,金价隔日一度走低至1122美元一线,目前进价已经触及200日均线处阻力,这一轮涨势正在接近尾声,其走势仍偏于下行。   上行方向看,阻力位于1130.62美元附近的200日均线处和1144.30美元一线。下行方向看,支撑位于1123.51美元附近的5日均线处、1114.92美元一线、1106.50美元附近的100日均线处、1104.90美元附近的布林通道中轨处。   XM   李晓东   2016-2-3    进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章:

Similar Posts